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This Sunday, the nation of CAR will undertake a significant series of four votes, encompassing the presidential race, national assembly, and local positions.

A Crowded Race for the Presidency

Seven candidates are vying for the presidency, including ex-premiers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. The two were given approval to stand by the high court after initial bans. Dologuélé finished second in the last two elections, while Dondra briefly served under the incumbent.

Opposition Hopes and Public Discontent

The challengers aims to tap into widespread frustration in a nation where conflict remains a constant threat. Over half a million people are displaced within their own country, with a comparable figure living as refugees in neighbouring countries.

"This represents an opportunity to acknowledge the remarkable recovery of the nation," said a UN regional official, adding that challenges persist.

The Incumbent's Path

Despite the challenges, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a one-time academic, is widely expected to extend his run. He first entered politics in 2008 when appointed prime minister, serving until a rebel coalition toppled the government in 2013, triggering a civil war.

After a chaotic transition period, his reputation for neutrality from the main militias fueled his runoff win in 2016.

Election Risks and Logistical Hurdles

There are fears that logistical problems and violence could disrupt the electoral process, particularly in the countryside. The UN stabilization force, Minusca, is providing security and organizational aid that the country's weak systems is unable to provide.

Further issues include the electoral roll being published only online, a major hurdle in a country with limited internet access. These issues have prompted an opposition boycott and could, as noted by analysts, "exclude many of the electorate."

Stakes of a Third Term

Many citizens fear that another term for Touadéra—enabled by a 2023 charter change that scrapped term limits and lengthened mandates—would mean greater influence for foreign actors.

The president has relied on the Russian mercenary group Wagner for personal security, and despite its founder's death, has resisted calls to fold its fighters into a successor entity. Meanwhile, Rwanda has pursued a different approach, focusing on commercial ventures within CAR.

Claims of National Disposal

Recent reports have claimed the administration evicted its own soldiers from a World Bank-funded training centre to accommodate a Rwandan livestock operation. A critical commentary accused the leadership of being "intent on sell off the nation bit by bit."

Despite a recent peace accord with rebel groups offering a glimmer of stabilization, the election moves forward under a cloud of doubt and external competition.